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Marilee J. Layman

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02:51 pm: Did Rudy Really Decrease Crime in NYC?
An interesting article in yesterday's WashPost says "probably not." There are stunning charts that show that crime has followed lead in houses and atmosphere -- just 20 years later.

The theory offered by the economist, Rick Nevin, is that lead poisoning accounts for much of the variation in violent crime in the United States. It offers a unifying new neurochemical theory for fluctuations in the crime rate, and it is based on studies linking children's exposure to lead with violent behavior later in their lives.

What makes Nevin's work persuasive is that he has shown an identical, decades-long association between lead poisoning and crime rates in nine countries.

The graphics for the US, Canada, and Britain.



[User Picture]
Date:July 10th, 2007 02:22 am (UTC)
If Giuliani decreased crime in NYC, I want to know how he decreased it in the other big cities at the same time. Whatever the cause(s), the decrease in New York was far from unique.
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